Heuristics and biases: the psychology of intuitive judgement

Introduction - Heuristics and Biases: Then and Now / Thomas Gilovich and Dale Griffin

1. Extensional versus Intuitive Reasoning: The Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment / Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman

2. Representativeness Revisited: Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgement / Daniel Kahneman and Shane Frederick

3. How Alike Is It? versus How Likely Is It?: A Disjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgements / Maya Bar-Hillel and Efrat Neter

4. Imagining Can Heighten or Lower the Perceived Likelihood of Contracting a Disease: The Mediating Effect of Ease of Imagery / Steven J. Sherman, Robert B. Cialdini and Donna F. Sclrwartzman / [et al.]

5. Availability Heuristic Revisited: Ease of Recall and Content of Recall as Distinct Sources of Information / Norbert Schwarz and Leigh Ann Vaughn

6. Incorporating the Irrelevant: Anchors in Judgements of Belief and Value / Gretchen B. Chapman and Eric J. Johnson

7. Putting Adjustment Back in the Anchoring and Adjustment Heuristic / Nicholas Epley and Thomas Gilovich

8. Self-Anchoring in Conversation: Why Language Users Do Not Do What They "Should" / Boaz Keysar and Dale J. Barr

9. Inferential Correction / Daniel T. Gilbert

10. Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem / Timothy D. Wilson, David B. Centerbar and Nancy Brekke

11. Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity "Heuristics" / Paul Rozin and Carol Nemeroff

12. Compatibility Effects in Judgment and Choice / Paul Slovic, Dale Griffin and Amos Tversky

13. Weighing of Evidence and the Determinants of Confidence / Dale Griffin and Amos Tversky

14. Inside the Planning Fallacy: The Causes and Consequences of Optimistic Time Predictions / Roger Buehler, Dale Griffin and Michael Ross

15. Probability Judgment across Cultures / J. Frank Yates, Ju-Whei Lee and Winston R. Sieck / [et al.]

16. Durability Bias in Affective Forecasting / Daniel T. Gilbert, Elizabeth C. Pinel and Timothy D. Wilson / [et al.]

17. Resistance of Personal Risk Perceptions to Debiasing Interventions / Neil D. Weinstein and William M. Klein

18. Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability / David Dunning, Judith A. Meyerowitz and Amy D. Holzberg

19. When Predictions Fail: The Dilemma of Unrealistic Optimism / David A. Armor and Shelley E. Taylor

20. Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives / Daniel Kahneman and Dale T. Miller

21. Counterfactual Thought, Regret, and Superstition: How to Avoid Kicking Yourself / Dale T. Miller and Brian R. Taylor

22. Two Systems of Reasoning / Steven A. Sloman

23. Affect Heuristic / Paul Slovic, Melissa Finucane and Ellen Peters / [et al.]

24. Individual Differences in Reasoning: Implications for the Rationality Debate? / Keith E. Stanovich and Richard F. West

25. Support Theory: A Nonextensional Representation of Subjective Probability / Amos Tversky and Derek J. Koehler

26. Unpacking, Repacking, and Anchoring: Advances in Support Theory / Yuval Rottenstreich and Amos Tversky

27. Remarks on Support Theory: Recent Advances and Future Directions / Lyle A. Brenner, Derek J. Koehler and Yuval Rottenstreich

28. Use of Statistical Heuristics in Everyday Inductive Reasoning / Richard E. Nishbett, David H. Krantz and Christopher Jepson / [et al.]

29. Feelings as Information: Moods Influence Judgments and Processing Strategies / Norbet Schwarz

30. Automated Choice Heuristics / Shane Frederick

31. How Good Are Fast and Frugal Heuristics? / Gerd Gigerenzer, Jean Czerlinski and Laura Martignon

32. Intuitive Politicians, Theologians, and Prosecutors: Exploring the Empirical Implications of Deviant Functionalist Metaphors / Philip E. Tetlock

33. Hot Hand in Basketball: On the Misperception of Random Sequences / Thomas Gilovich, Robert Vallone and Amos Tversky

34. Like Goes with Like: The Role of Representativeness in Erroneous and Pseudo-Scientific Beliefs / Thomas Gilovich and Kenneth Savitsky

35. When Less Is More: Counterfactual Thinking and Satisfaction among Olympic Medalists / Victoria Husted Medvec, Scott F. Madey and Thomas Gilovich

36. Understanding Misunderstanding: Social Psychological Perspectives / Emily Pronin, Carolyn Puccia and Lee Ross

37. Assessing Uncertainty in Physical Constants / Max Henrion and Baruch Fischhoff

38. Do Analysts Overreact? / Werner F. M. De Bondt and Richard H. Thaler

39. Calibration of Expert Judgment: Heuristics and Biases Beyond the Laboratory / Derek J. Koehler, Lyle Brenner and Dale Griffin

40. Clinical versus Actuarial Judgment / Robyn M. Dawes, David Faust and Paul E. Meehl

41. Heuristics and Biases in Application / Baruch Fischhoff

42. Theory-Driven Reasoning about Plausible Pasts and Probable Futures in World Politics / Philip E. Tetlock.